Fixed Interest Rate Loan and Increase in inflation?
Suppose that Brian takes out a private loan of ,000 from a bank to help pay for a new sports car. The inflation rate has been constant at 3% for the past decade, so the bank offers Brian a five-year loan at a fixed annual nominal interest rate of 10%. That is, the nominal interest rate is set at 10% per year for five years no matter what the level of inflation rate is.
Suppose that right after Brian and the bank agree on the loan there is an oil shock, and the inflation rate increases to 8% for five years. Who benefits from this unexpected rise in the inflation rate?
Who benefits? 1. The Bank 2. Neither 3. Brian
Thanks for your help
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Brian would benefit from the inflation because he would pay back the loan with cheaper (inflated dollars) However, don’t go buy that new sports car - it is a bad gamble to bet on what interest rates are going to do, especially for five years.